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Canadian dollar hits six-week high as oil rally lifts rate bets

Reuters reported Friday that the Canadian dollar rose to a six-week high against the U.S. dollar as higher oil prices fed bets of further Bank of Canada tightening, even after weak GDP figures.

What's new
  1. New headline Was: “Canadian dollar extends monthly gain as higher oil prices raise inflation risk”
  2. Our desk filed its story

Based on reporting by Reuters

The Canadian dollar strengthened Friday to its highest level in six weeks versus the U.S. dollar, Reuters reported, as a rise in oil prices supported market bets that the Bank of Canada could raise rates again1.

Reuters said the currency was about 0.2% stronger near 1.3955 per U.S. dollar, or about 71.66 U.S. cents, after an intraday high since Sept. 16, and was on course for about a 2% gain for the month1.

That move came even as Reuters cited data showing Canada's economy stalled in August for a second month, with advance estimates of a 0.1% GDP drop in September and 1.3% annualized third-quarter growth, below the Bank of Canada's 2% third-quarter projection1.

Reuters said the central bank raised its policy rate 25 basis points to 2.50% on Wednesday and left open the possibility of more increases if energy costs feed into broader inflation, while investors priced roughly even odds of a December move and a fully expected move by January1.

U.S. crude futures were about 2.7% higher near $104.80 a barrel on geopolitical supply risk, Reuters reported, and Canadian 10-year yields eased about 2.1 basis points to 3.780% as investors sought safer assets1.

Sources

  1. ReutersCanadian dollar extends monthly gain as higher oil prices raise inflation risk