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Samsung forecasts record 84.4 trillion won capex as HBM for 2027 sells out

Samsung Electronics told investors on Thursday it expects 2026 capital spending of 84.4 trillion won, with high-bandwidth memory supply for 2027 sold out and 10 long-term memory deals signed.

Samsung Electronics said Thursday it expects capital expenditure of 84.4 trillion won, about $63 billion, for 2026 after telling investors that high-bandwidth memory supply for 2027 is sold out1,2,4.

The forecast, given on the company's third-quarter earnings call in Seoul, is 31.7 trillion won higher than a year earlier, The Asia Business Daily reported, citing executives, with 76.8 trillion won earmarked for the Device Solutions chip unit and about 3.9 trillion won for displays2.

Techmeme summarized Bloomberg as saying the outlay is about 60% higher than last year1. Moneycontrol's Bloomberg report used the same 84.4 trillion won, or $63 billion, figure4.

Samsung said HBM4 revenue more than tripled from the prior quarter and rose to about 60% of its HBM sales, and that it reached an HBM market-share goal matching its overall DRAM share in the second half of the year, according to The Asia Business Daily2.

Negotiations for 2027 HBM volumes were completed at prices in line with the company's target and that supply is sold out, Samsung said, while major customers still want more chips2. It said it has signed memory long-term agreements with 10 large customers and is talking with 10 others2,1.

Company slides showed consolidated third-quarter sales of 195.3 trillion won and operating profit of 107.4 trillion won, with Device Solutions sales of 147.1 trillion won and operating profit of 106.5 trillion won3.

Bloomberg, via Moneycontrol, said semiconductor operating income was about 2% shy of estimates and that Samsung withheld a detailed future payout plan until January, with the stock about 5% lower in Seoul4. SK Hynix said its HBM was sold out through 2029, while Samsung said its HBM was sold out only through 2027, that account said4.

Samsung's slides said a 30 trillion won third-quarter cash dividend is planned and that of an estimated 90 trillion to 110 trillion won in 2026 shareholder returns, about 35 trillion won is already planned or completed, leaving 55 trillion to 75 trillion won, with a substantial share repurchase and cancellation program plus cash dividends still to come3. The next return policy and remaining 2026 execution plans are due after a board meeting in late January 20272,3.

Josh Gilbert of eToro, quoted by Bloomberg via Moneycontrol, said the capex lift leaves a question over how much of the windfall returns to investors until January4. Samsung said it expects the semiconductor industry to stay strong in 2027 on AI investment and supply constraints2,3.

Sources

  1. TechmemeSamsung expects capex to rise ~60% to ~$63B this year, with HBM capacity sold out through 2027 and 10 long-term supply deals secured with key customers (Bloomberg)
  2. The Asia Business DailySamsung Electronics: "HBM4 Revenue More Than Triples, Next Year's Supply Sold Out... Record 84.4 Trillion Won in CAPEX" (Comprehensive)
  3. Samsung Electronics3Q 2026 Earnings Call
  4. MoneycontrolSamsung hikes spending after AI chips sold out for 2027

How it’s being reported

4 sources

First reported by Samsung Electronics

3Q 2026 Earnings Call

Quarterly results, DS memory mix and shareholder-return calendar

Samsung's English earnings-call slides reported 195.3 trillion won in third-quarter sales, 107.4 trillion won in operating profit and a 30 trillion won third-quarter cash dividend.

Leaves out The 84.4 trillion won full-year capex total stated on the call, which is not in the slides excerpted here

Where they agree

  • Full-year 2026 capex of 84.4 trillion won, or about $63 billion
  • HBM supply for 2027 described as sold out
  • Ten long-term memory supply agreements with large customers

Where they differ

Share-price reaction and chip-profit miss versus estimates

Side by side

Each outlet's article broken down by our newsroom, in our own words. To read what they wrote, use the button under each one.

TechmemeTechmeme

Samsung expects capex to rise ~60% to ~$63B this year, with HBM capacity sold out through 2027 and 10 long-term supply deals secured with key customers (Bloomberg)

The Bloomberg roundup of capex, HBM sell-out and long-term deals

Techmeme pointed to Bloomberg's account that Samsung expects about $63 billion of capex this year, HBM sold out through 2027, and 10 long-term supply deals.

Leaves out Company IR figures in won and shareholder-return timing

The Bloomberg roundup of capex, HBM sell-out and long-term deals

What it reports

  • The same summary said HBM capacity was sold out through 2027.

Leaves out Company IR figures in won and shareholder-return timing

Samsung Electronics: "HBM4 Revenue More Than Triples, Next Year's Supply Sold Out... Record 84.4 Trillion Won in CAPEX" (Comprehensive)

Company statements on HBM4 mix, LTA pipeline and shareholder returns

The paper quoted Samsung's Oct. 29 earnings call on HBM4 growth, 2027 HBM sold out, 84.4 trillion won full-year capex and 10 memory LTAs.

Leaves out Seoul share-price reaction highlighted by Bloomberg

Company statements on HBM4 mix, LTA pipeline and shareholder returns

What it reports

  • Samsung said HBM4 revenue more than tripled quarter on quarter and was about 60% of HBM revenue.
  • It said 2027 HBM supply talks were done at target prices and volume was sold out, with customers still asking for more.
  • It said it signed memory LTAs with 10 large customers and is negotiating with 10 more.
  • Full-year 2026 capex is expected at 84.4 trillion won, including 76.8 trillion won for Device Solutions.
  • A further shareholder-return policy is due from a late-January 2027 board meeting.

Leaves out Seoul share-price reaction highlighted by Bloomberg

Samsung Electronics

3Q 2026 Earnings Call

Quarterly results, DS memory mix and shareholder-return calendar

Samsung's English earnings-call slides reported 195.3 trillion won in third-quarter sales, 107.4 trillion won in operating profit and a 30 trillion won third-quarter cash dividend.

Leaves out The 84.4 trillion won full-year capex total stated on the call, which is not in the slides excerpted here

Quarterly results, DS memory mix and shareholder-return calendar

What it reports

  • Slides put third-quarter sales at 195.3 trillion won and operating profit at 107.4 trillion won.
  • Device Solutions sales were 147.1 trillion won and operating profit 106.5 trillion won.

Leaves out The 84.4 trillion won full-year capex total stated on the call, which is not in the slides excerpted here

Samsung hikes spending after AI chips sold out for 2027

Share-price drop, chip-division miss versus estimates, comparison with SK Hynix payouts

Carries Bloomberg's report that Samsung plans more than 60% higher spending, about $63 billion of capex, and that the stock fell after payout plans were deferred to January.

Leaves out Won-denominated DS capex split in Samsung's slides

Share-price drop, chip-division miss versus estimates, comparison with SK Hynix payouts

What it reports

  • Bloomberg, carried by Moneycontrol, said Samsung expects 84.4 trillion won, about $63 billion, of 2026 capex, more than 60% higher.
  • It said chip-division operating income was about 2% shy of estimates and the stock was about 5% lower in Seoul after payout plans were held to January.
  • It said Samsung has 10 long-term supply deals and that Samsung's HBM is sold out through 2027, versus SK Hynix through 2029.
  • Josh Gilbert of eToro said the capex lift leaves a question over how much of the windfall returns to investors until January.

Leaves out Won-denominated DS capex split in Samsung's slides