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U.S. GDP grew 3.4% in third quarter, Commerce Department says

The Bureau of Economic Analysis said real GDP rose at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, while September PCE prices were up 3.6% from a year earlier.

What's new
  1. New headline Was: “U.S. GDP Increased 3.4% in Third Quarter”
  2. Our desk filed its story
  3. New York Times is now reporting this
  4. New headline Was: “Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates”

U.S. real gross domestic product increased at a 3.4 percent annual rate in the third quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Thursday in its advance estimate, after a 2.2 percent increase in the second quarter1.

BEA said the contributors were increases in investment, consumer spending and government spending, partly offset by a decrease in exports, while imports rose1. Compared with the second quarter, it said the acceleration primarily reflected faster investment and an upturn in government spending, partly offset by a downturn in exports1.

Real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose 4.9 percent in the third quarter, after 4.6 percent in the second, BEA said1. The PCE price index in the GDP accounts rose 2.1 percent in the quarter, after 5.0 percent, and core PCE prices rose 2.5 percent, after 3.3 percent1.

A separate BEA report said current-dollar personal consumption expenditures increased 0.5 percent in September2. The PCE price index rose 0.5 percent on the month and 3.6 percent from a year earlier; excluding food and energy, PCE prices rose 0.3 percent on the month and 3.1 percent over 12 months2. Personal income rose 0.2 percent; the personal saving rate was 3.8 percent2.

CNBC said the GDP reading beat a 3.1 percent estimate and that consumer spending rose 3.8 percent in the quarter4. It put gross private domestic investment up 19.4 percent, with equipment spending up 20.9 percent and intellectual-property products up 8.4 percent4.

BEA's technical notes said the investment increase primarily reflected private inventory investment and equipment, with equipment led by information-processing equipment, mainly computers and peripheral equipment1.

The New York Times reported the same 3.4 percent GDP figure and described household spending and living costs as a political issue ahead of next week's midterm elections3.

CNBC said the Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate in a 3.75 percent to 4 percent range on Wednesday4. It also said initial jobless claims were 194,000 for the week ending Oct. 244.

Thursday's GDP figures are an advance estimate1. BEA said a second estimate is due Nov. 251.

Sources

  1. U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisGDP (Advance Estimate), 3rd Quarter 2026
  2. U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisPersonal Income and Outlays, September 2026
  3. New York TimesU.S. GDP Increased 3.4% in Third Quarter
  4. CNBCThird-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates

How it’s being reported

2 sources

First reported by U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisU.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Where they agree

  • Third-quarter real GDP rose at a 3.4% annual rate, faster than 2.2% in the second quarter.
  • September PCE prices rose 0.5% on the month and 3.6% from a year earlier.

Where they differ

How much of the print to attribute to AI-related investment

Side by side

Each outlet's article broken down by our newsroom, in our own words. To read what they wrote, use the button under each one.

CNBCCNBC

Third-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates

Inflation still above the Fed's 2% target alongside stronger-than-forecast GDP.

Pairs the GDP print with September PCE, private investment figures, the Fed's rate hold and weekly jobless claims.

Leaves out BEA's note that equipment gains were led by information-processing equipment based on trade data.

Inflation still above the Fed's 2% target alongside stronger-than-forecast GDP.

What it reports

  • GDP rose at a 3.4% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the third quarter, above a 3.1% estimate and faster than 2.2% in the second quarter.
  • September PCE rose 0.5% month over month; the 12-month rate was 3.6%, with core PCE at 0.3% and 3.1%.
  • CNBC said consumer spending rose 3.8% in the quarter and gross private domestic investment rose 19.4%, with equipment up 20.9%.
  • The Fed held its policy rate at 3.75%-4% the day before, according to CNBC.
  • Initial jobless claims fell to 194,000 for the week ending Oct. 24, below a 200,000 estimate, CNBC said.

Leaves out BEA's note that equipment gains were led by information-processing equipment based on trade data.