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RBA lifts cash rate to 4.85%, highest since 2008, in 6-3 vote

Australia's Reserve Bank raised its cash rate 25 basis points to 4.85% on Tuesday, a 6-3 board vote, citing inflation that it now expects to stay above target until late 2027, RNZ and ABC News Australia reported.

Developing story: what's new
  1. RNZ, CNBC and The Conversation AU are now reporting this
  2. Our desk updated its story
  3. Still developing
  4. The Guardian is now reporting this
  5. ABC News Australia is now reporting this
  6. New headline Was: “RBA interest rates live: Reserve Bank of Australia meeting today before cash rate decision and announcement – latest news”
  7. Our desk filed its story

Australia's Reserve Bank raised its cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.85% on Tuesday, the highest level since late 2008, in a 6-3 board vote2,3,4,5.

The move was the fifth increase this year and matched expectations in a Reuters poll of economists, CNBC reported4.

The board's majority cited inflation expectations that it said had become entrenched2. Three members voted to leave the rate at 4.60%2,4,5.

The bank now expects inflation to stay above 3% over the coming year and to return to the top of its 2% to 3% target band only in late 2027, later than it previously forecast2,5.

Governor Michele Bullock said she did not know what the next move would be and that the last two increases had not yet fully flowed through, The Conversation reported5.

Bullock said the bank was trying to curb inflation without tipping Australia into a recession "if we can avoid it," while noting households may feel poorer as incomes grow slowly5.

The Conversation said a fully passed-on increase would add about A$120 a month on a A$731,000 average new owner-occupier mortgage5. Most Australian mortgages are variable-rate loans, so repayments typically move with the cash rate5.

The bank also raised its unemployment outlook, expecting the jobless rate to reach 5.1% by the end of 2028 from a five-year high of 4.7%, according to The Conversation5. Growth is expected to slow as higher rates and falling housing prices weigh on consumption and housing investment, while business investment, including data centres, is seen as relatively strong5.

The Guardian reported the decision as a fifth hike this year and focused on the burden for mortgage holders1. RNZ noted the New Zealand dollar rose about a quarter of a percent against the Australian dollar after the announcement2.

Whether another increase follows is not settled. The 6-3 split and Bullock's comments on lagged effects leave the next meeting open, outlets said4,5.

Sources

  1. The GuardianRBA interest rates: Bullock says ‘pain now’ will prevent worse later as Reserve Bank hikes rates for fifth time
  2. RNZReserve Bank of Australia raises its cash rate to 4.85 percent
  3. ABC News AustraliaBreaking: RBA lifts interest rates to highest level in 18 years to try to dampen inflation
  4. CNBCAustralia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation
  5. The Conversation AURBA hikes interest rates to an 18-year high, warning inflation will hurt for another year

How it’s being reported

5 sources

First reported by ABC News AustraliaABC News Australia

RNZABC News AustraliaCNBCThe Conversation AUThe Guardian

Where they agree

  • The cash rate rose 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest since 2008.
  • The board voted 6-3 to raise rather than hold at 4.60%.
  • Inflation is expected to stay above the target band until late 2027.

Side by side

Each outlet's article broken down by our newsroom, in our own words. To read what they wrote, use the button under each one.

RNZRNZ

Reserve Bank of Australia raises its cash rate to 4.85 percent

The split vote and the New Zealand dollar's move against the Australian dollar.

Says the RBA raised the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.85% after a 6-3 vote, with inflation seen above 3% for a year.

Leaves out Governor Bullock's comments on the next move and recession risk.

The split vote and the New Zealand dollar's move against the Australian dollar.

What it reports

  • The board voted 6-3 to raise rates, citing entrenched inflation expectations.
  • Inflation is expected to stay above 3% for the coming year and return to target only in late 2027.
  • The New Zealand dollar rose about 0.25% against the Australian dollar after the decision.

Leaves out Governor Bullock's comments on the next move and recession risk.

ABC News AustraliaABC News Australia

Breaking: RBA lifts interest rates to highest level in 18 years to try to dampen inflation

The 18-year high in the cash rate and the inflation-fighting purpose of the move.

Reports a 0.25 percentage-point rise taking the cash rate to 4.85%, the highest since late 2008.

Leaves out The 6-3 vote and updated unemployment forecasts.

The 18-year high in the cash rate and the inflation-fighting purpose of the move.

What it reports

  • The monetary policy board lifted rates by 0.25 percentage points.
  • The cash rate target is 4.85%, up from 4.60%.
  • That is the highest cash rate since late 2008.

Leaves out The 6-3 vote and updated unemployment forecasts.

CNBCCNBC

Australia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation

The 18-year high and that the move matched market expectations.

Says the RBA raised the cash rate 25 basis points to 4.85% on Tuesday, in line with a Reuters economist poll, in a 6-3 decision.

Leaves out Unemployment and mortgage-repayment estimates.

The 18-year high and that the move matched market expectations.

What it reports

  • The decision matched expectations in a Reuters poll of economists and was the fifth increase this year.
  • The RBA statement said six members voted for the increase and three for a hold.

Leaves out Unemployment and mortgage-repayment estimates.

RBA hikes interest rates to an 18-year high, warning inflation will hurt for another year

Updated inflation and unemployment forecasts and what the hike means for mortgages.

Links the official RBA release and quotes Governor Michele Bullock on the next move, recession risk and lagged effects of earlier hikes.

Leaves out The New Zealand dollar reaction reported by RNZ.

Updated inflation and unemployment forecasts and what the hike means for mortgages.

What it reports

  • The cash rate rose to 4.85% from 4.60%, the highest since late 2008.
  • Governor Michele Bullock said she did not know what the next move would be and that recent hikes had not fully flowed through.
  • Inflation is now expected to return to the top of the 2-3% target only in late 2027, nine months later than previously.
  • Unemployment is forecast to reach 5.1% by the end of 2028, from a five-year high of 4.7%.
  • A fully passed-on rise would add about A$120 a month on a A$731,000 average new owner-occupier loan.

Leaves out The New Zealand dollar reaction reported by RNZ.