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COP31 leaders clash on finance, fossil fuels and a 35% electrification goal

At COP31 in Antalya, Turkey and Australia are pushing a 35-by-35 electrification target while island states demand faster cuts and finance, and the U.S. federal government is again absent, BBC, Rappler and RNZ report.

What's new
  1. Politico Europe, RNZ and 7 more are now reporting this
  2. New headline Was: “The planet ‘is being killed’, Greta Thunberg tells Cop31 climate summit”
  3. Our desk filed its story
  4. New headline Was: “Burnham says climate consensus 'gone' but pledges 'new era of leadership' in COP31 speech”

Wire reporting: (Reuters, via Rappler)

World leaders at the COP31 climate summit in Antalya, Turkey, spent two days laying out incompatible demands on emissions, money and energy, then handed negotiators the job of finding a deal all can accept6,10. Turkey is hosting with Australia leading talks, and the headline offer is a “35-by-35” push to raise electricity’s share of world energy use from about 21% to 35% by 20355,9.

Small island governments described warming as a survival issue and asked major emitters to cut faster, while developing countries again sought more finance to switch fuels, adapt and pay for loss and damage6,7. Oil producers pushed back: Venezuela’s acting president, Delcy Rodriguez, told the conference her country would keep strengthening its oil industry as a development driver6,10.

U.K. Prime Minister Andy Burnham, reported as the only Group of Seven leader in Antalya, said consensus on both science and climate change had gone and still promised a new stretch of British leadership1. He restated the 2050 net-zero goal, said the climate crisis was already here, and named former Joint Intelligence Committee head Dame Madeleine Alessandri as a climate security envoy1,2. Politico Europe reported he backed electrification in principle but did not endorse the 35% electricity-share target, and that his government had recently cut heat-pump subsidy funding2. BBC noted critics pointing to weaker green policies at home, including the Jackdaw gas field and Heathrow expansion1.

The United States federal government has no official delegation for a second year after President Donald Trump withdrew from the Paris Agreement process3,7. Pacific ministers said work should continue anyway; Marshall Islands minister Jess Gasper said the United States still mattered as a major emitter, and UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell pointed to U.S. states and other non-federal actors3.

Independent Climate Action Tracker, cited by SCMP, said progress that had cut projected warming in the first five years after Paris had stalled for five years, leaving an overshoot of 1.5 degrees Celsius looking hard to reverse, and that even full delivery of current pledges pointed toward about 2.6C by 21007. Tuvalu’s climate minister, Maina Vakafua Talia, said COP31 would fail unless it answered that overshoot3.

Co-host speeches largely skipped fossil fuels, according to The Conversation: neither President Recep Tayyip Erdogan nor Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese used the phrase in opening remarks, while Australia’s negotiations president, Chris Bowen, did twice and Turkey’s COP president Murat Kurum did not5. Brazil, last year’s host, presented a fossil-fuel transition roadmap5. Bowen told Reuters, via Rappler and Daily Maverick, that his job was to steer consensus, not bang tables6,10.

Turkey signed about $5.1 billion in loans with the Asian Development Bank, AIIB, World Bank and Islamic Development Bank for climate projects, infrastructure and small firms, Middle East Eye reported4. African governments pitched forest carbon sales; Ghana said TREES credits could bring about $43 million, and Gabon described a six-million-tonne aviation-eligible deal, while partnership figures put forests at under 1% of climate finance8.

The Associated Press reported that more than 120 civil-society groups want human-rights and environmental conditions on 35-by-35 because the pledge does not require electricity to come from renewables and would raise demand for transition minerals9. The COP31 presidencies did not comment to AP9. What a final text will say on fossil fuels, finance and electrification remains unsettled6,5.

Sources

  1. BBCBurnham says climate consensus 'gone' but pledges 'new era of leadership' in COP31 speech
  2. Politico EuropeClimate action must work for ‘people on all incomes,’ Burnham tells COP31
  3. RNZCOP31: Climate action must continue even if 'US is not here', Pacific leaders say
  4. Middle East EyeCop31: Turkey signs $5.1bn loan deals to boost green transition
  5. (Reuters, via Rappler)World leaders set out clashing priorities as COP31 turns to negotiationsAlso (Reuters, via Daily Maverick)
  1. The Conversation AUAvoiding the ‘F word’: Australia and Turkey dance around fossil fuels at COP31 summit
  2. SCMPClimate-vulnerable nations urge immediate action at UN Cop31 summit
  3. AllAfricaAfrica: African Leaders Push To Cash In On Forests As Carbon Trading Gains Traction
  4. APUN climate summit pushes electrification goal as groups call for mining safeguards

How it’s being reported

9 sources

First reported by RNZRNZ

BBCPolitico EuropeRNZMiddle East EyeThe Conversation AUSCMP

Where they agree

  • COP31 is underway in Antalya with Turkey hosting and Australia leading negotiations.
  • The U.S. federal government is not officially present for a second year.
  • Hosts are promoting a 35-by-35 electrification target.
  • Vulnerable countries are asking for faster emission cuts and more finance.

Where they differ

Whether Burnham endorsed the 35-by-35 electricity-share target

How central fossil fuels are to the official agenda

Side by side

Each outlet's article broken down by our newsroom, in our own words. To read what they wrote, use the button under each one.

BBC

Burnham says climate consensus 'gone' but pledges 'new era of leadership' in COP31 speech

Burnham's speech, U.K. heat this summer, and the new envoy

U.K. Prime Minister Andy Burnham, described as the only G7 leader in Antalya, says scientific and climate consensus has faded and names a climate security envoy. BBC News

Leaves out The 35-by-35 target details and mining safeguards

Burnham's speech, U.K. heat this summer, and the new envoy

What it reports

  • Burnham told COP31 the consensus on science and climate change had 'gone' but pledged a new era of U.K. leadership.
  • He cited the U.K.'s hottest summer on record, school closures and strained ambulance services.
  • He named Dame Madeleine Alessandri as climate security envoy.
  • Campaigners said recent U.K. policies, including heat-pump support cuts and the Jackdaw gas field, undercut the speech.

Leaves out The 35-by-35 target details and mining safeguards

Politico EuropePolitico Europe

Climate action must work for ‘people on all incomes,’ Burnham tells COP31

Cost of living and consumer access to green technology

Burnham ties net-zero to affordability of electric cars and heat pumps and restates the 2050 target without endorsing Turkey's 35% electricity share goal.

Leaves out Island-state speeches and U.S. absence

Cost of living and consumer access to green technology

What it reports

  • He reaffirmed U.K. net zero by 2050.
  • He supported an electrification push but did not back the 35% by 2035 electricity-share target.
  • The piece notes his government recently cut the heat-pump subsidy pot.

Leaves out Island-state speeches and U.S. absence

RNZRNZ

COP31: Climate action must continue even if 'US is not here', Pacific leaders say

U.S. absence and Pacific vulnerability

Pacific ministers say talks must proceed without a U.S. federal delegation for a second year and press for action on a 1.5C overshoot.

Leaves out Turkey's bank loans and African carbon credits

U.S. absence and Pacific vulnerability

What it reports

  • The Trump administration has no official presence at COP31 for a second year.
  • UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell said U.S. states and non-state actors are more visible than at COP30.
  • Tuvalu's climate minister said the summit must respond to inevitable 1.5C overshoot.

Leaves out Turkey's bank loans and African carbon credits

Middle East EyeMiddle East Eye

Cop31: Turkey signs $5.1bn loan deals to boost green transition

Host-country financing packages

Turkey signed $5.1 billion in loans with four development banks on the sidelines of COP31.

Leaves out Leaders' clashes on fossil fuels

Host-country financing packages

What it reports

  • Treasury Minister Mehmet Simsek said no national budget can fund the green transition alone.
  • Deals were signed with ADB, AIIB, the World Bank and the Islamic Development Bank.
  • AIIB described $1.6 billion for a Turkey Climate Action Acceleration Program.

Leaves out Leaders' clashes on fossil fuels

The Conversation AUThe Conversation AU

Avoiding the ‘F word’: Australia and Turkey dance around fossil fuels at COP31 summit

Silence on fossil fuels by co-hosts

Academic analysis says Erdogan and Albanese largely skipped fossil fuels in opening speeches while hosts promote a 35-by-35 electrification goal.

Leaves out Burnham's envoy announcement

Silence on fossil fuels by co-hosts

What it reports

  • Neither Erdogan nor Albanese mentioned fossil fuels in opening leaders' speeches, the authors say.
  • Australia's Chris Bowen used the phrase twice; Turkey's Murat Kurum did not.
  • Brazil presented a fossil-fuel transition roadmap at COP31 after hosting COP30.

Leaves out Burnham's envoy announcement

SCMPSCMP

Climate-vulnerable nations urge immediate action at UN Cop31 summit

Vulnerable nations and a stalled-progress report

Island leaders call warming a survival issue; Climate Action Tracker says 1.5C overshoot looks irrecoverable on current policy.

Leaves out Turkey's $5.1 billion loans

Vulnerable nations and a stalled-progress report

What it reports

  • Climate Action Tracker, cited by SCMP, said 1.5C overshoot looks hard to reverse on current policy.
  • The report said even full delivery of current pledges pointed toward about 2.6C by 2100.

Leaves out Turkey's $5.1 billion loans