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Barkin and Hammack back gradual Fed rate increases

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin told CNBC on Thursday that further rate hikes are likely at a gradual pace, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack separately argued for smaller, more frequent moves.

What's new
  1. New headline Was: “Barkin sees interest rate hikes ahead, but at a gradual pace”
  2. Our desk filed its story

Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin said Thursday that the central bank will likely need to raise interest rates further, with the open question being how fast those moves come1.

Barkin spoke with CNBC's Steve Liesman as part of the Richmond Fed's 2026 CFO Summit1. "Unemployment's near record lows, and inflation is too high," he said, adding that a gradual pace still makes sense given uncertainty and incoming data1.

The comments came a little more than a week after the Federal Open Market Committee left the federal funds rate in a 3.75% to 4% range1,2. Barkin is not a voting member this year and is scheduled to vote in 20271.

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, in prepared remarks for an event in Zurich, said policy will need to move to a restrictive stance to return inflation to the 2% target in a timely way, according to Reuters reporting carried by other outlets2. She did not specify when she wanted the next increase and said she prefers more frequent, smaller adjustments when possible2.

Hammack and Fed Governor Lisa Cook dissented last week in favor of a rate hike; Hammack also dissented when the Fed held rates in late July2.

CNBC reported that when the committee raised rates by a quarter point in September, officials largely agreed another increase was likely before the end of 2026, and that markets were pricing a better than 80% chance of a December hike, then another move in 2027, according to CME FedWatch1.

Barkin said he sees current policy as close to a neutral setting that neither restricts nor promotes growth, and that elevated consumption could mean policy is a bit accommodative1. He called inflation the most important risk and said AI is adding near-term price pressure even if it later boosts production1.

He also said debt issuance to hyperscalers, estimated this year at more than $500 billion, is worth watching, more for unknown risks among intermediaries than for the large tech borrowers themselves1. What officials will do at the next meeting, and how far they will ultimately raise rates, remains unset1,2.

Sources

  1. CNBCBarkin sees interest rate hikes ahead, but at a gradual pace
  2. ReutersFed's Hammack favors gradual rate-hike path to lower inflation

How it’s being reported

2 sources

First reported by CNBCCNBC

Where they agree

  • Both officials said inflation is too high and favored a gradual path of further rate increases.
  • Both accounts place the last FOMC decision as a hold in the 3.75%–4% range.

Where they differ

Whether current policy is already restrictive

Side by side

Each outlet's article broken down by our newsroom, in our own words. To read what they wrote, use the button under each one.

CNBCCNBC

Barkin sees interest rate hikes ahead, but at a gradual pace

Barkin's interview remarks on pace, inflation, AI-related prices and hyperscaler debt.

Barkin, speaking at the Richmond Fed's 2026 CFO Summit, said inflation is the main risk and that gradual further rate increases make sense.

Leaves out Hammack's Zurich speech and her dissent at the last FOMC meeting.

Barkin's interview remarks on pace, inflation, AI-related prices and hyperscaler debt.

What it reports

  • Barkin said he expects the Fed will have to raise rates further, without specifying how much or how fast.
  • He said unemployment is near record lows and inflation is too high, so the policy path is straightforward and the question is pace.
  • The FOMC last week held the federal funds rate in a 3.75%–4% range; Barkin is not a 2026 voter.
  • He described current policy as close to neutral and possibly a bit accommodative given elevated consumption.
  • He flagged AI as a near-term price pressure and said hyperscaler debt issuance is worth watching for intermediary risk.

Leaves out Hammack's Zurich speech and her dissent at the last FOMC meeting.