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Nebius shares fall 16% after revenue beat and higher 2026 capex

CNBC said Nebius Q3 revenue was $980.8 million versus a $907.5 million estimate, shares fell 16%, and the company raised 2026 capital spending while pointing to the low end of its 2026 revenue range.

What's new
  1. Techmeme is now reporting this
  2. New headline Was: “Nebius falls 16% as company expects increased 2026 capex spend, issues weak outlook”
  3. Our desk filed its story
  4. New headline Was: “Nebius falls 10% as company expects increased 2026 capex spend, issues weak outlook”
  5. New headline Was: “Nebius falls 8% as company issues 'conservative' 2027 outlook, increased 2026 spend”
1 earlier update
  1. New headline Was: “Nebius handily beats Q3 revenue expectations but shares fall”

Nebius Group reported third-quarter revenue above analyst estimates on Thursday, and CNBC said the company's shares fell 16 percent1.

CNBC, citing LSEG consensus, said revenue was $980.8 million compared with an estimate of $907.5 million1. Revenue jumped 571 percent in the quarter, according to a company statement cited by CNBC1.

The company reported a net loss of $37.5 million, or 13 cents a share, compared with $119.6 million, or 50 cents a share, a year earlier1. CNBC said it was not immediately clear whether the per-share loss was comparable to a 69-cent loss expected by analysts1.

In a letter to shareholders, CEO Arkady Volozh said the company expects fiscal 2026 revenue at the low end of a $3 billion to $3.4 billion range, CNBC reported; FactSet expected $3.35 billion1. Nebius expects fiscal 2026 capital expenditures of $27 billion, above prior guidance of $20 billion to $25 billion and a FactSet figure of $23.85 billion, according to CNBC1.

CNBC said Nebius also gave an initial 2027 revenue outlook of $12 billion to $13 billion, citing a conservative approach to the pace of its build-out, and fiscal 2027 capex of $40 billion to $45 billion versus a FactSet expectation of $28.77 billion1. Techmeme, summarizing the same report, described the stock drop as more than 16 percent and called the outlook weak2.

CNBC said the results followed better-than-expected reports from CoreWeave and IREN over the past week1. Nvidia held about $329 million in Nebius shares at the end of June, according to a filing cited by CNBC1.

Sources

  1. CNBCNebius falls 16% as company expects increased 2026 capex spend, issues weak outlook
  2. TechmemeNeocloud Nebius' stock falls 16%+ after it reported Q3 revenue up 571% YoY to $980.8M, vs. $907.5M est., increased 2026 capex spend, and issued a weak outlook (Jordan Novet/CNBC)

How it’s being reported

2 sources