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Microsoft says sequential AI diagnostic tool beat doctors on case tests

Microsoft researchers said in Science that a multi-agent Diagnostic Orchestrator was more than twice as accurate as general physicians on complex cases, The Verge and Reuters reported.

What's new
  1. New headline Was: “Microsoft develops AI tool that can diagnose ‘sequentially’ like a doctor”
  2. Our desk filed its story

Wire reporting: (Reuters, via Daily Maverick)

Microsoft researchers said Thursday that an AI system designed to work through diagnoses step by step outperformed general physicians on complex case tests, according to a study published in Science1,2,3.

The company calls the system a Diagnostic Orchestrator: multiple AI agents reason through symptoms and history, decide which questions and tests to order, and update hypotheses as results arrive, rather than scoring all available data at once1,2,3.

The Verge reported that Microsoft compiled the cases into a benchmark it named SDBench and plans to open-source it2. On scenarios drawn from hundreds of New England Journal of Medicine case reports, the system reached about 83 percent diagnostic accuracy, compared with roughly 36 percent for generalist physicians using references and 22 percent for those working without them, The Verge said2.

On emergency-department cases from a Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center admissions database, The Verge said the orchestrator scored 80 percent accuracy versus an average of 47 percent for physicians, and tended to reach diagnoses at a lower estimated cost2. Reuters, carried by Daily Maverick and CNA, said the tool was more than twice as accurate as general physicians on more than 300 unusual cases and also beat physicians on emergency-room scenarios1,3.

The Verge said the system is powered by OpenAI's GPT-5 and outperformed frontier models running alone, though the peer-reviewed paper does not include several newer models named in that report2. Microsoft researchers told Reuters that typical medical-AI comparisons use multiple-choice exams that do not match how patients present1,3.

Mustafa Suleyman, chief executive of Microsoft AI, told The Verge the work still needs clinical validation and called that a leap beyond the study2. The Verge and Reuters both said Microsoft plans tests with Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center; Reuters described emergency-department triage, while Dominic King told The Verge hospital testing would likely start in the next couple of months1,2,3.

Microsoft has not said when or how the technology might be sold, The Verge reported, and King pointed to medicine's regulatory requirements2. The study used past cases, and it is not known how the system would perform with live patients1,2,3.

Sources

  1. (Reuters, via Daily Maverick)Microsoft develops AI tool that can diagnose ‘sequentially’ like a doctorAlso (Reuters, via CNA)
  2. The VergeMicrosoft says its AI tool is better than doctors at diagnosing diseases

How it’s being reported

2 sources