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Social Security trustees project retirement-fund insolvency in 2032
CNBC, citing the June 2026 Social Security trustees report, said the retirement trust fund may be depleted in the fourth quarter of 2032, with an automatic 22 percent benefit cut unless Congress acts.
- New headline Was: “Social Security may have to cut retirement benefits in six years. Here's how much money is at stake for beneficiaries”
- Our desk filed its story
Social Security's Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund may be depleted in the fourth quarter of 2032, the program's trustees said in a June report, after which retirement benefits would be cut 22 percent unless Congress changes the law, CNBC reported Sunday1.
The Congressional Budget Office forecast cited in the same piece is earlier and steeper: mid-2032 insolvency and a 26 percent cut1.
A June Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimate, as reported by CNBC, put the average U.S. monthly cut at about $500 if benefits were reduced 24 percent, with larger average reductions in 29 states1.
If lawmakers combined the retirement and disability trust funds, trustees projected depletion in the third quarter of 2034 and a 17 percent cut, CNBC said1.
Shai Akabas of the Bipartisan Policy Center told CNBC that 2032 is when beneficiaries would feel inaction, and that delay would increase the shortfall1. The article said any fix may involve tax increases, benefit cuts, or both, and that Congress could postpone action1.
The figures rest on June 2026 trustee and CBO projections as summarized by CNBC, not a new official release Sunday1.