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GOP mid-decade maps fail to deliver as Democrats hold redrawn seats
States Newsroom and Reuters report that Republican mid-decade House maps, pushed after 2025 at President Trump’s urging, did not produce the intended net gains in Tuesday’s midterms.
Republican-led states that redrew U.S. House maps in a mid-decade push encouraged by President Donald Trump did not convert those lines into the net gains the party had sought in Tuesday’s elections, according to a States Newsroom recap published Wednesday and a Reuters report1,17.
Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures won nearly 54 percent of the vote in Alabama’s 2nd District after the Legislature drew a more Republican-leaning map, States Newsroom reported1,7. Reuters said Alabama Republicans delayed primaries to complete that map and that Figures still won, with high Black turnout cited as a factor17.
A National Democratic Redistricting Committee memo said Republicans made no net gains in states where they targeted Democratic seats1,16. The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter had estimated new Republican maps could net as many as 15 seats, States Newsroom said, with GOP legislatures advancing maps in Florida, Louisiana, North Carolina, Tennessee, Alabama and Texas1,7.
Reuters, writing as of midday Wednesday, said Democrats had won or were leading in 12 of 15 seats Republicans redrew to be more conservative, and that stretching those lines may have endangered GOP incumbents in North Carolina and Tennessee17.
In North Carolina, States Newsroom said Republicans were on track to lose six seats1,7. Reuters said Democrats were poised to flip at least five and potentially six Republican seats there, and that Rep. Don Davis won reelection after the 1st District was drawn more Republican17.
In Texas, lawmakers sought five additional Republican seats; States Newsroom said the party flipped one newly drawn district and suffered a net loss of one1,7. Reuters said Democrats appeared to have retained eight of nine targeted seats in Texas and Florida combined, with a shift among Hispanic voters cited in south Texas17.
California Democrats picked up five seats they had targeted on a retaliatory map, both accounts said1,17. Reuters said Democrats also gained a Utah seat after a court-ordered redraw17. States Newsroom said Virginia voters approved a Democratic map that the state Supreme Court struck down, and that a state court imposed a Democratic-leaning district in Utah1,7.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican, said Wednesday, “This is close to an extinction-level event for Republicans in many parts of the country,” as he described his party’s losses, States Newsroom reported1,7. The National Republican Redistricting Trust did not immediately respond to Reuters17. The White House did not respond to States Newsroom questions about future GOP redistricting1,7.
A late April U.S. Supreme Court decision curtailed federal protections against racial gerrymandering and cleared the way for Southern states to break apart majority-Black districts, States Newsroom and Reuters both reported1,17. States Newsroom said 81 percent of Black voters supported Democrats, citing exit-poll figures analyzed by NPR, up from 70 percent in 20241,7.
Maryland voters approved a measure easing a Democratic remap, and Gov. Wes Moore said he wants new maps after Question 3 passed with 60 percent, States Newsroom reported1,7. Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp said he would not call a special session for new maps before Democratic Gov.-elect Keisha Lance Bottoms takes office in January1,7. Reuters said newly elected Democratic governors in Texas and Georgia would be able to block Republican remap efforts in those states17.
Missouri voters rejected a Trump-backed congressional map 62 percent to 38 percent; the map was not in effect for 2026 after a state court ruling but would have applied in 2028 if approved, States Newsroom said1,7. Common Cause said the results set the stage for federal reform of gerrymandering, the same report said1.
Sources
- Arkansas AdvocateTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Colorado NewslineTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Georgia RecorderTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Iowa Capital DispatchTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Kansas ReflectorTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
Louisiana IlluminatorMaine Morning StarMichigan Advance+9 moreHide
- Louisiana IlluminatorTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Maine Morning StarTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Michigan AdvanceTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Daily MontananTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- North Dakota MonitorTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- New Hampshire BulletinTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Source NMTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Pennsylvania Capital-StarTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- South Dakota SearchlightTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- Wisconsin ExaminerTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- West Virginia WatchTrump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
- ReutersDemocratic Wave Sweeps Aside Trump-Backed Effort to Redraw US House Districts
How it’s being reported
17 sourcesFirst reported by
Reuters
Trump’s gerrymandering push flops as Democrats win redrawn seats
Alabama’s Figures race and a national recap of GOP maps
States Newsroom report that GOP mid-decade maps did not produce the intended House gains after Tuesday’s midterms.
Democratic Wave Sweeps Aside Trump-Backed Effort to Redraw US House Districts
12 of 15 GOP-targeted seats and California’s five-seat map
Carries Reuters' report that Democrats had won or led in 12 of 15 GOP-redrawn conservative seats as of midday Wednesday.
Leaves out NDRC memo details and Missouri referendum tally
Where they agree
- Mid-decade GOP maps, urged by Trump starting with Texas in 2025, did not deliver the intended House gains.
- Figures won Alabama’s redrawn district.
- California Democrats won the five seats their map targeted.
- A Supreme Court ruling this year eased racial-gerrymandering limits in the South.
Where they differ
How large the redistricting setback was